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dc.contributor.author Masike, S.
dc.contributor.author Urich, P.
dc.date.accessioned 2010-07-08T14:00:47Z
dc.date.available 2010-07-08T14:00:47Z
dc.date.issued 2008
dc.identifier.citation Masike, S. & Urich, P. (2008) Vulnerability of traditional beef sector to drought and the challenges of climate change: the case of Kgatleng District, Botswana, Journal of Geography and Regional Planning, Vol.1, no. 1, pp. 012-018 en_US
dc.identifier.issn 2070 1845
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10311/542
dc.description.abstract Cattle’s rearing in Botswana is undertaken in two sectors: the communal and commercial. The communal sector is exclusively free range and therefore depends on biomass production. This makes the systems highly susceptible to drought. One strategy that has been devised by farmers to adapt to drought has been to overstock. However, this strategy may not be the best adaptation strategy as it leads to overgrazing and quick depletion of scarce biomass during the drought years. Climate change may increase the vulnerability of the communal cattle sector in the country mostly through changes and variability of rainfall. In the article, we determine the reliability of the rainfall in the Khurutshe area, Botswana. Vulnerability of the cattle sector to system severe failure is also determined. Lastly, the effects of climate change on return period of drought are investigated. Results indicate that the reliability index of rainfall in the Kgatleng District is 0.5. The vulnerability index of the cattle is estimated at 8000 per year. Lastly, using SimCLIM computer model climate change will shorten the return period of mild drought from 2 years to 1.6 years by 2050. These findings have serious implications on the recovery period of the cattle to withstand the next drought period. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Academic journals http://hdl/handle.net/10289/973 en_US
dc.subject Cattle sector en_US
dc.subject climate change en_US
dc.subject climate scenarios en_US
dc.subject drought en_US
dc.subject reliability en_US
dc.subject return period en_US
dc.subject vulnerability index en_US
dc.subject adaptation measures en_US
dc.title Vulnerability of traditional beef sector to drought and the challenges of climate change: the case of Kgatleng District, Botswana en_US
dc.type Published Article en_US


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